Sunday, January 29, 2012

Go grab the good things in life!

Subscribe to HBJ Capital Services Pvt. Ltd.

"Good for me = Good for my client = Good for my company = Good for the market = Good for the country = Good for the world."

Allow me, Ladies and Gentlemen to present you a company which I believe mimics the above good things in its business model and as such it could as well be good for you and good for your portfolio too. Just log on to http://soft.hbjcapital.net and do yourself a good favour by buying this good scrip on sharp corrections and just hold it for 1-2 years to get good returns!

Good Luck,

- Kishor Khot, Equity Strategist

Released Today : Double Circuit (20% returns in 2-4 weeks) Stock Reco for Jan 2012

Subscribe to HBJ Capital Services Pvt. Ltd.

OUR TECHNO FUNDA CALL RELEASED ON JAN 29TH 2012: LOOK FOR 20% UPSIDE IN 2-4 WEEKS [CHECK COMPLETE PACKAGE DETAILS - LINK]


Techno fundamental trading is a revolutionary approach to combining technical & fundamental analysis. It shows how to combine the lost art of fundamental analysis and modern methods of technical analysis and turn them into a unique and powerful approach for stock market forecasting and stock selection just before the stocks price start appreciating. It will help you to identify major price trends before they begin.

The problem we face today is too much information available around. If you are looking for few outstanding short term calls on fundamentally sound companies then "TECHNO FUNDA CALLS" are for you. There is something called "Time Value For Your Money", it means if you are buying a stock whose stock price do not move for a longer period of time [say 2-3 months or 6-12 months], here if you are not making any profit in your 3 months of stock investment, you are actually losing something called "Time Value For Money", you have actually lost expected price appreciation due to decay in time value. So, is it wise to hold a stock and pray GOD for its movement to start or enter only in those stocks which are fundamentally sound companies where movement is about to begin. So that you can make profit and park your funds into next stock which are about to breakout.

Gone are the day when people use to invest and sleep peacefully, today we are living in "Information Age" and right information at the right time to the right person is what makes the difference between rich and poor. Thirty years ago there was no internet, no high-tech media, no ways to get information so easily so there was no other option than buy and hold or buy and sleep. But today, you have to be on your toes, you have to multiply your money as fast as possible because you also have to retire by 40-45 years or own a house before you turn 35 years so and so. Our aspirations are changing, so the style of investment MUST CHANGE. Hence, the only way you can really have EDGE over others is to either get expertise in "TECHNO FUNDA CALLS" or "SUBSCRIBE TO OUR UNIQUE SERVICE".

Grab our "TECHNO FUNDA CALLS" Today!
- Max 1-2 cash calls per month
- Approx 20% upside in each calls & 5% SL
- Holding period for each call will be 10-15 days

This package is available at Rs 15K for 3 months. Our next Techno Funda Call is going to be released soon!

For Payment Method - LINK
For Online Payment Gateway - LINK [Enter the Package Name = Techno Funda Calls or Double Circuit & Amount = Rs15K]
For Any Queries : Email - Info@hbjcapital.com | Call : 09886736791

Regards
Vishal Gulecha, Techno-Fundamentalist, HBJ Capital

Released Today : TMP & MMP (Offline PMS) Update on Jan 29th 2012

Subscribe to HBJ Capital Services Pvt. Ltd.

[Note: Members need to login to our secure site - http://soft.hbjcapital.net/ using the id/pwd provided in order to access the current report, previous reports and articles written only for members. Send email to Info@hbjcapital.com if you find any issue while login]

To Know more about our offline PMS - LINK

Dear Members of  TMP/MMP Portfolio,

Markets have pulled back smartly with a more than 10% rally, since the start of the year. The broader markets and the heavily beaten down stocks have risen sharply in the past few weeks. Whether it is a bear market rally or the start of a genuine up trend, will be known only in hindsight. Timing the market is an extremely difficult task and instead, what smart investors do is to pick the right companies at a discount to their intrinsic valuation. 

Present market conditions are an absolute stock pickers delight. We like to see this environment as, “High uncertainty, Low risk and High rewards”. This enables us to select stocks which can create good value for investors over a period of time. Our team is working hard by digging into the markets to find such stocks which can outperform the market and give good returns to our portfolio.

Though the last 14 months have been pretty bad for the markets, we feel this is a temporary phenomenon and investors who invest during such times will be those who reap rich rewards. Markets always go through these phases of extreme pessimism and optimism . This huge volatility helps investors to profit by buying cheaply in a depressed market and selling in a bubble. As Warren Buffet rightly said, “Buy Fear and Sell Greed”.

Three things which we must remember and be convinced is the Indian growth story, Power of compounding and the potential of equities. India in spite of its challenges its growing at a healthy pace and provides numerous opportunities for companies to exploit profitably.  There is no doubt that the Indian stock markets are in a long term uptrend with very strong fundamentals.

Stock Markets are non-linear and returns are very lumpy. Hence, it is required to be invested over a period of time to get a good compounded return. Companies which can grow sustainably at a compounded rate of 20-25 % can create enormous wealth for investors. Equities as an asset class has always outperformed others like real estate, gold, FD’s etc in the long run and in a developing country like India this is expected to continue for the next several years. 

This in no ways means, you can buy any stock and hold it in expectation of good returns. The most important part lies in selecting the right business at a good price. We have picked up 2 such companies in this report which will help our portfolio to earn better returns. We intend to slowly increase our portfolio allocation in the next 3 months. Portfolio tuning is a continuous process and markets requires us to be alert with an ability to react and take better decisions. 

We are having a close eye on our portfolio companies and intend to allocate capital to the best stocks possible. Portfolio management is not a sprint, but a marathon and we through this Offline PMS intend to help you in managing your portfolio better with little effort by replicating us. We look forward to running this marathon better with your support.

Regards,





Gokul Raj . P, Portfolio Manager

Learn how to read the tape – the truth is in the tape – listen to it.


Dear Members of LEARN, TRADE & EARN,
In the stock market there is no room for error and carelessness. I have seen many people losing huge amount of money in the market due to carelessness and few people really make huge amount of money by following simple set of rules. One must be ultra careful while trading because in this game either you become millionaire or you become beggar!
Let us start understanding the market from last Friday, 27th Jan 2012….
On Friday we have seen nifty opening up higher, drifting down to lower levels and doing minor up-thrust only to recover later and close higher almost 50pts high.  To sum up, we can say that nifty has done a testing on Friday and the volume seems to be reasonable hence it is a sign of strength.
We have seen continuous sign of strength on the background with nifty moving straight from 4600 to 5200 which is almost 600pts of straight line recovery with not even a 30-50pts of correction in between. So, we do not rule out correction of 100-200pts of from these levels. But in trading there is a rule, “Never “PREDICT” or “ANTICIPATE” the market, try to “REACT” to what the Market is telling by its behavior” and as of now market is telling me that I will move up, so it is advisable to trade with the trend and stay on the long side of the market.
Since the market is going up, we are holding long position and profits are flowing in our account on daily basis, but don’t become lazy and take it as granted that your profit will flow without any effort. We have to understand daily move of nifty and ensure that we are on the right side of the market.
Let us understand the expected nifty move on Monday…
A) Nifty continues to move up and close 30-50pts higher – Sign of Strength.
B) Nifty remains flat and closes +/- 10/20pts only – We need to see if there was sign of testing or up-thrust or mark-up or mark-down.
C) Nifty closes down 30-50pts lower – It may be a Sign of Weakness or just one day testing. Look at the volume, if volume is higher than it is a SOW, and if volume is low it is a SOS. But before confirming the SOW we need to wait and watch for the next day. If next day is down than it is SOW else we need to check.
D) Look for some clear indications - We may see some kind of “testing” on low to average volume which is sign of strength. We may see “Up-thrust” on high volume which is a sign of weakness.
The answer always lies in “WHAT” the tape says, not trying to figure out the “WHY”.
God bless you!
Regards,
Prof. Sameer Jain [Student of Market]
ONLINE TRADING PLAN - [LEARN – TRADE – EARN]
-   This is not a conventional course wherein basics or advanced level of technical analysis are taught. Here we will focus on day to day activities in the market and understand them well using VSA techniques, candidates will trade accordingly and earn profit from informed trade. First, you will learn the market, then prepare a trading plan and once market endorsed you plan, you can trade and make profit.
-   2-3hrs online session per week to understand the Nifty moves.
-   4-5 Swing calls on Nifty with 100+ points gain in each call.
-   Personal assistance provided for each candidate thru chat, over phone etc
-   Course material will be provided on daily basis to learn the market. You don’t need to have any prior basic knowledge of technical indicators etc for this course.
-   Chat facility with technical analyst will be provided. You will receive the daily market views which will be explained by our expert team. You can also watch the video and learn the secret hands operating behind the screen in the market.

COURSE FEE [INCLUDES SESSIONS & TRADING PLAN]

þ ONLINE TRADING PLAN [LEARN – TRADE – EARN]: Rs 20K/Month

Payment Details: - Credit Card, Debit Card, Net Banking using payment gateway

þ VeriSign Secured Gateway: http://hbjcapital.in/payment.html [Enter the Package Name - Learn, Trade, Earn & Amount INR 20K to proceed]
þ Other Payment Options -LINK

Contact Us: +91-9886403791 (24X7) | +91-9718979319 (24X7) | 080-65681133/34

Friday, January 27, 2012

Don't worry people, Greek sovereign debt is contained. Remember how "sub-prime was contained"

Subscribe to HBJ Capital Services Pvt. Ltd.

Dear Readers,

You will find many policy makers saying that, don't worry people, Greek sovereign debt is contained. Always remember that the same guys were saying "sub-prime was contained" and we all saw what happened in US during 2008. If you were a Greek bond holder with a hedged swap, wouldn't you push for default and get 100% instead of a 50% haircut, especially if you know that your swap would be bailed out by the USTreasury through the Exchange Stabilization Fund, as per AIG in 2008? All this is good business practice I guess? Spend beyond your means until your broke, then let others pay the tab so you won't have to suffer much. Sounds like the US and sixty percent of the industrialized nations. Presidents, Governors,and Prime Ministers are actually paid for this kind of management. I wish i could make my creditors let me get by with paying only thirty percent of what I owe them.

CDS defines Credit Default Swaps as an agreement that the seller of the CDS will compensate the buyer in the event of a loan default. The buyer of the CDS makes a series of payments (the CDS “fee” or “spread”) to the seller and, in exchange, receives a payoff if the loan defaults. In the event of default the buyer of the CDS receives compensation (usually the face value of the loan), and the seller of the CDS takes possession of the defaulted loan. However, anyone can purchase a CDS, even buyers who do not hold the loan instrument and who have no direct insurable interest in the loan.

Credit default swaps have existed since the early 1990s, and increased in use after 2003. By the end of 2007, the outstanding CDS amount was $62.2 trillion, falling to $26.3 trillion by mid-year 2010.


In my understanding these are simliar Private Mortgage Insurance, which is popular in American on home mortgages, that the buyer is not putting a significant downpayment on the property. The bank or mortgage hold is protected by PMI, so if the owner defaults, the mortgage holder does not lose, the bank is paid off by the insurance and the insurance company then is the owner of the rights to the property. Although it gets a lot more complicated then this in the world of finance and risk, as you can have insurance on only certain parts of the debt or only on a certain level of default or only on particular types of non payments.

One of the main problems with the Greek settlement is what will trigger this insurance. The question then comes, if a bond holder has CDS coverage, why would they settle for anything less then the full face value and what happens if they do? If the bond holder settles for a negotiated settlement, will the insurance kick in. The who should the Greek government be negotiating with the holder of the bond or the CDS.

The other important question is what is a default and how is a default determined. The EU has done everything they can to distance a negotiation with credits from a default. In technical terms it is a default anytime you do not repay the full value of the debt, but what the definition is in legal terms, insurance terms and banking terms could be entirely different.

The European debt crisis is getting ever more serious, and will soon move away from Greece to one of the biggest – and potentially most explosive – economies in the world: Italy.

US institutions have been snapping up credit default swaps (CDSs), insurance against credit losses. The value of guarantees provided by US lenders on government, bank and corporate debt in troubled eurozone countries rose by $80.7bn to $518bn in the first half of this year, according to the Bank of International Settlements. If Italy goes down in a disorderly default it will shake the roots of the financial and economic world, estimate put the money needed over the next three years to be  around €650bn

Today cost of insuring Portuguese government debt against nonpayment soared. Reaching a record on fears the country may be forced to follow Greece in seeking a restructuring of its debt. The spread on five-year Portuguese CDS widened to 1,310 basis points from 1,279 basis points earlier this week. That means it would now cost $1.31 million annually to insure $10 million of Portuguese debt against default for five years. Yesterday, S&P stated that if Greece goes into default it does not need to be a domino effect, this is true, except countries like Spain, Italy and Portugal, are already in line.

- Team HBJ Capital

Nifty trading near the trend line, the resistance line, the high volatility zone. This is the best time to make descent profit in option trading.

Subscribe to HBJ Capital Services Pvt. Ltd.


Dear Readers,

We all know that buying options provide 100-200% kind of gains just in few days only if they are bought during high volatile period in the market and market tends to show sharp up/down move when they trade near the trend line. A trend line is also a resistance area. The more established the trend line, the higher the resistance. A trading price level that persists for several weeks will give a higher resistance than a similar looking level that lasts one week. And the time has come to make killing in option trading, stay tuned, all the members of our most selling TOP - The Option Package will receive one sure shot call on Monday for 200% profit in just 3-4 days holdings.

Refer the chart above, the trend lines will mark future areas of resistance, if and when, prices arrive near a line. If there has been an increased effort to go up and through the upper trend line (resistance), these professional traders may have taken a bullish view (this must have been the case for the price to penetrate the line in the first place). If the specialists are still bullish, there will be no effort to go back down. The amount of volume will tell you if the line is now going to hold. As we need effort to penetrate a trend line, any low volume appearing as the price approaches the line will indicate that it is unlikely to be breached this time.

Regards
Prof Sameer Jain [E-Mail - Sameer@hbjcapital.com]


-If you are looking for premium trading services in Options [TOP - The Option Package] then just  pick up your phone and Call 97189 79319 or 98864 03791 (24X7) to know more about this HNI/NRI Services. Also Visit: http://www.stoplosstrade.in

Learn-Trade-Earn (Online Tutorials) : “Upside in Nifty is likely to continue further, stay long!”



Dear Readers,
We have seen nifty moving from 4600 to 5200 in just 3 weeks, a rally of almost 600 points. This rally was a surprise for many as well as me not because if sudden upside but because there was not even a minor profit booking in between. Absence of profit booking was mainly due to the fact that, we have seen 3 major gap-ups of almost 300pts in total and small-small gap-ups or sharp up-move before market closing consists of approx 200pts, so out of 600pts, there was 500pts rise which has not allowed traders (sitting on the sideline waiting to get in) to ride the upside. Gap-up move near the resistance levels are also done in order to minimize the selling pressure from locked in traders.
Nifty 5200-5400 range: This is the trading zone where we will see following activities…
1.  Strong traders who are stuck on the short side of the market will finally close their position. Weak hands on the short side are already out due to sharp recovery.
2.  Trapped traders on the long side (those who got trapped during the fall of Nov’11) who are now selling mostly at cost to cost will continue to sell which will be absorbed by the fresh new traders coming in the market.
3.  Nifty has broken resistance of 5100 on upside with high volume on the day of RBI policy meet and this up move was supported on the very next day of expiry with high volume.
4.  We are most likely to see nifty levels of 5360-5400 during next week. To be very frank, nifty has not given any sign of weakness so far and the sharp recovery has surprised everyone including myself.
5.  One must be cautioned trading between 5200 - 5400 levels because smart money is slowly exiting which can be seen by high volume narrow bar. Most likely we will see a trend reversal near nifty 5400 but it will be confirmed only once we reach there.
6.  It is advisable to trade with light position on the long side and avoid any short at this point of time. Once the market will indicate weakness, I will let all my readers know about that.
7.  Market will frequently rest and go sideways after any high volume up-day (seen on the day of RBI Policy meet) because selling has to be disappear before any up move can take place.
Short term trend (1 week)….
Outlook for nifty is bullish for next few days unless we see a sign of weakness on the daily chart. Although the current rally looks tired now but we can still see nifty moving close to 5360-5400 before any meaningful correction or trend reversal. Today we have seen a small gap-up opening followed by +ve day and closing 40pts high which is clearly saying that upside will continue for some more time.
Medium term trend (3-6 months)…
There is no doubt that the current rally is a bear market rally and it is designed in order to suck/absorb all the investors who were holding cash and waiting from last 1 year for the market bottom to invest, they will get trapped at the higher levels. You can observe that there is good volume see in the cash market during last few days. This liquidity driven rally will try to attract retail investors. Once most of the market participants are sucked into the market we will see bottom formation at lower levels.
God bless you!
Regards,
Prof. Sameer Jain [Student of Market]
ONLINE TRADING PLAN - [LEARN – TRADE – EARN]
-   This is not a conventional course wherein basics or advanced level of technical analysis are taught. Here we will focus on day to day activities in the market and understand them well using VSA techniques, candidates will trade accordingly and earn profit from informed trade. First, you will learn the market, then prepare a trading plan and once market endorsed you plan, you can trade and make profit.
-   2-3hrs online session per week to understand the Nifty moves.
-   4-5 Swing calls on Nifty with 100+ points gain in each call.
-   Personal assistance provided for each candidate thru chat, over phone etc
-   Course material will be provided on daily basis to learn the market. You don’t need to have any prior basic knowledge of technical indicators etc for this course.
-   Chat facility with technical analyst will be provided. You will receive the daily market views which will be explained by our expert team. You can also watch the video and learn the secret hands operating behind the screen in the market.

COURSE FEE [INCLUDES SESSIONS & TRADING PLAN]

þ ONLINE TRADING PLAN [LEARN – TRADE – EARN]: Rs 20K/Month

Payment Details: - Credit Card, Debit Card, Net Banking using payment gateway

þ VeriSign Secured Gateway: http://hbjcapital.in/payment.html [Enter the Package Name - Learn, Trade, Earn & Amount INR 20K to proceed]
þ Other Payment Options -LINK

Contact Us: +91-9886403791 (24X7) | +91-9718979319 (24X7) | 080-65681133/34

Thursday, January 26, 2012

Arise and awake, the markets are rising!

Subscribe to HBJ Capital Services Pvt. Ltd.


Yes, my dear friend, as the markets have been rising since the past few weeks many of the so called smart investors have started praying for the markets to fall with a thud so that they could buy some good scrips at much lower prices and thus equip themselves to participate in the bull run. At the same time many investors who are sitting on the sidelines with lots of cash are confused what to buy. I have identified a good company which is still available at attractive valuations and before its too late, grab this scrip with your loving hands by logging on tohttp://soft.hbjcapital.net

Terminology Thursday





The Nifty has shown a great move in past fifteen days moving from 4600 to 5150. The DIIs and moreover FIIs are back on track for investing. One person that still missing these days are our very own retail investors. Not even 10% of the country population participate properly in the stock market whether it’s going up or going down. Some tell it’s a speculation and some tell it’s hard to learn but everyone has got their own reason to stay away from the market. We at HBJ Capital continuously try our best to increase the participation of the small retail investors because we believe that it’s them who are the real king of the market. After a good response to Workshop Wednesday where we taught some stock market basics to the people we are back with another programmer called Terminology Thursday. In this we will help the investors clearing doubts over the various terminologies which they come across in day to day investing and they find nobody to clear their doubts. This week we are here with following terms:


  • A-D Index or Advance Decline Index: A Perfect tool for detecting the trend of the market. A tool which detects the bullishness or bearishness trend of the stock market. The simplest way to calculate the Advance Decline index is to divide the number of stocks which are on up move by number of stock which has shown a decline move. For example: There are 30 stock in the Sensex and if 25 stocks are on rise and 5 stocks are on fall so A/D index values goes to 25/5 = 5. Any Value above one indicates bullish trend and value below one indicates bearish trap on the market.
  •  Air Pocket Stock: A stock that shows a sudden drop in price generally due to bad news. The fall generally makes a huge gap between last day close and next day opening. The stock tend to behave same like aircraft when air pocket force the aircraft to lose its altitude and comes down sharply same here bad news push the stock price in downward direction. For example recently, when Reliance Industries Limited declared below par result on Friday we saw investor punishing the stock on Monday. 
  • Pigs: They are greed driven people whose ultimate agenda is to make multi fold profit in very short stint. These people invest in the market on “tips” or “news” without any proper study of the stocks. Ultimately these are the people who are bound to make losses because of their greed and emotional attachment to their holdings and acting completely against their own strategy. As Michal Douglas rightly said, “Bulls makes money, Bear makes money, only Pig gets slaughtered.”
  • Chickens: These are the investors who are quite afraid to lose anything on their investments. Their fears are so high that the need to make profit is vanish from their eyes resulting transferring their money to debt market or getting out of the market completely.

If you have any doubts on any concept or term feel free to mail me at niraj@hbjcapital.com or post it as comment so that we can clear your doubts.

Niraj, Market Learner [niraj@hbjcapital.com]


Subscribe to HBJ Capital Services Pvt. Ltd.

Wednesday, January 25, 2012

REPUBLIC DAY OFFER (From 25th - 29th Jan 2012) - "Buy any ONE Package & Sponsor ONE Child for ONE Year Education"


TOP 3 POSITIONAL TRADING PACKAGES FROM THE DESK OF
WWW. STOPLOSSTRADE.COM (TRADING UNIT OF HBJ CAPITAL)

NIFTY CHAMPION PREMIUM PACKAGE (NCP) Because every good man has the moral responsibility to be rich.

  • 4-5  Positional/Swing Call in Nifty Future in a month
  • 80-100pts gain in each call
  • 2-4 days holding period 
  • Calls through SMS/Yahoo Messenger & EMAIL
  • Complete report on the call being generated
1 Month = 15K  [Get 1 month Option Package FREE]
2 Months = 20K [Get 1 month Stock Future Package FREE ]
3 Months = 25K [Get 1 month Stock Future & 1 month Option Package FREE]

Actual Cost : INR 20K/month

BREAKOUT STOCK FUTURE (BSF)  Resolution to indecision can lead to significant profit

  • 4-5  Breakout / News based Stock Future Calls in a month
  • 5-10% Return in each call 
  • 1-3 days holding period 
  • Calls through SMS/Yahoo Messenger & EMAIL
  • Complete report on the call being generated
1 Month  = 15K [Get 1 month Option Package FREE]
2 Months = 20K [Get 1 month Nifty Champion FREE]
3 Months = 25K [Get 1 months Nifty Champion & Option Package FREE]

Actual Cost : INR 20K/month

TOP (THE OPTION PACKAGE) - Turn a little money into a fortune.

  • 1 Nifty  &  1 Stock Option Call per week  
  • 50-150% return in each call 
  • 2-3 days holding period 
  • Calls through SMS/Yahoo Messenger & EMAIL
  • Complete report on the call being generated
1 Month  = 10K [Get 1 month extra, total 2 months of Option Package]
2 Months = 15K [Get 2 months extra, total 3 months of Option Package]
3 Months = 20K [Get 1 month Nifty Champion & Stock Future FREE]

Actual Cost: INR 10K/month


Payment Details: - Credit Card, Debit Card, Net Banking using payment gateway
·   VeriSign Secured Gateway: http://hbjcapital.in/payment.html [Enter the Package  Name & Amount to proceed]
·   Other Payment Options - LINK
Contact: +91-9886403791 (24X7) | +91-9718979319 (24X7) | 080-65681133/34 | Visit: www.stoplosstrade.in